Fantasy Football Trade Deadline Mailbag: What would it be like to sell high on Jonathan Taylor?

Jonathan Taylor has been on a hell of a wave lately, and it’s harder to argue that he’s not the best running back for fantasy football right now. And if he’s not, he’s probably not lower than No.2. He’s scored a touchdown in seven straight games, averaging 25.6 PPR points per game during that streak. That he did so with just one set of 20 carries – the same number as, among others, Carlos Hyde, Myles Gaskin and Darrel Williams – makes it all the more impressive.

And you don’t trade the running backs that play like that, do you? They’re worth too much, and in Taylor’s case we’re talking about an extremely talented back in his second season who also showed elite potential as a rookie. Lest you think it is only A hot streak, Taylor has 1,666 rushing yards and 17 touchdowns plus 41 catches for 381 yards and two more touchdowns in his last 16 games, good for 22.1 PPR points per game. He’s a superstar.

But, let’s just say you wanted to trade Taylor: what should you ask in return? That’s the question Tom, a Fantasy Football Today newsletter subscriber, asked on Tuesday:

“While Jonathan Taylor is the best RB right now, due to Taylor’s Week 14 off week, I’m thinking of trading him for a few guys who have had theirs before. Any suggestions?”

This is something you need to keep in mind when looking to trade, obviously. While most teams have eight games left in their season (and four in most regular fantasy seasons), Taylor has one less thanks to his late goodbye. It’s been a big boon for you so far, but if you hit Week 14 with a winning or home game in the balance, not having Taylor available could be what ruins your season.

On the flip side, not having Taylor in weeks 11-13 could ruin your season before you even get to week 14. Which is quite obvious: if you’re going to move Taylor, you have to be absolutely blown away. You should always try to improve your team, or at least not make it noticeably worse before Taylor’s bye.

Tom suggested Ezekiel Elliott and Mike Evans as a potential offer, and I think that’s the right idea. A No.1 RB and a must-have WR is the starting point for any conversation around Taylor. You need to do a big upgrade somewhere else in your roster – something like George Kittle and Joe Mixon or D’Andre Swift would be interesting as well. But this is the general framework that you should be looking for; Dave Richard’s trade value chart suggests that something like David Montgomery and DK Metcalf might work as well, which I think is correct.

And I’ll say, I actually think it’s a good time to try and sell Taylor. He’s an exceptional player, but he’s also obviously playing over his head right now, with almost seven yards per carry and one touchdown every 12.6 carries in the last five games. I think he’s more likely to be RB6 in points per game going forward than RB1, and with the week off to factor in that makes him a better idea. You’ve already racked up 10 games against Taylor when most players just got nine games from their early round picks, and you can choose an additional game from another player instead of having to overcome Taylor’s farewell.

It’s a tightrope that you have to walk, and it will be risky to trade a player like Taylor right now. But it could be the right move if you play it right.

Here are some other business questions from our Twitter listeners / readers / followers. If you want answers to your questions, email them to [email protected] or use #AskFFT on Twitter for help:

Jason: I need a consistent quality WR. Who could I target if I had to offer James Conner?

Looking at Dave’s trading chart, he rated Conner at 15, with guys like DeAndre Hopkins, Marquise Brown, Michael Pittman, Terry McLaurin, Tyler Lockett all at one point of him back and forth. This seems like a good lineup, with Brown probably the one I would prioritize. I wrote about him as a low cost candidate in Wednesday’s FFT newsletter, and I think much better days are ahead for him. I think Conner will be a really good Fantasy RB start as long as Chase Edmonds is out and I think there might be more excitement around him than Brown, so see if you can get another piece. You can also try for Hopkins, who obviously has the WR’s top five, but his hamstring injury and the fact that the Cardinals have really spread the ball have limited his value so far.

Austin: What should Travis Kelce managers be looking for in the goalie leagues if they’re already out of playoff contention?

Kelce is a fascinating player for the goalkeeper / dynasty leagues, given that he is still the clear higher option than the final tight position but is at an age (32) where the bottom could fall at any time. He thinks he’s aging gracefully enough in the Chiefs offense, but at some point he’s going to step back from the crowd in position, so moving him if you’re not fighting right now is the right move.

As to what you should expect in return for him? Well, Heath Cummings’ latest Dynasty trading board from last week has Kelce as the No.50 player overall, roughly the same value as a 2022 first-round pick in the middle of the round. You can also aim for someone like Antonio Gibson or Clyde Edwards-Helaire with hopes of a third-year breakthrough, or a QB like Kyler Murray. One interesting thing to consider: JK Dobbins, who is expected to be in perfect health for the start of the 2022 season and has seen absolutely no one getting involved in the Ravens’ racing game this season.

Steven: I was offered Ezekiel Elliott and Darnell Mooney for my Hollywood Brown and my CEH. I definitely get Zeke’s best player, but I’d give up two starters for one because I’m not sure Mooney would be in my starting lineup unless he’s really having a blast for the rest of the season.

I largely agree with your assessment of the trade offer, so I think it depends on your situation. If you’ve pretty much locked a playoff spot, I think consolidating your roster to upgrade your roster is the right game. If Mooney won’t start for you, that implies you probably have a surplus of players. newbies, so it’s probably worth the swap. Depth matters less as the season progresses, and you want the strongest lineup possible for the playoffs.

However, I would probably pass the deal if I’m still fighting for a playoff berth or if my starting lineup ends up with a hole. It’s possible Mooney could step in and fill that hole – his target share of 26% for the season suggests he could have a huge second half if Justin Fields can jump in after the bye. I love the potential there, but I certainly wouldn’t want to have to rely on him at this point. He’s strictly a bench hideout until we see more of him.

The problem here is that I’m not 100% sure that Cook is a meaningful upgrade on Mixon or Swift, let alone enough to launch Hopkins. I’m sure having Hopkins on your list was frustrating, but you trade him while he’s hurt, which is just mismanagement of assets; its value probably won’t be much lower than that at any other time.

Cook is, to be clear, still an elite fantasy option, and his relative struggles this season are mostly related to the bad luck of touchdown; he has been tackled on the 1-yard line five times this season without scoring a touchdown. Get out of the game he left early with an injury, and he’s averaging 102 rushing and 16.5 receiving yards per game, not far from where he was last season, so expect better days to come with a better hit chance. This is an upgrade on Mixon and Swift, but I’m not sure it’s big enough to warrant adding another guy who probably needs to start when he’s healthy.

Source link

About Douglas Torres

Check Also

Soccer-Bayern stay ahead with victory over Bielefeld thanks to Sane goal

Leroy Sane’s second-half goal gave Bayern Munich a 1-0 victory over visiting Arminia Bielefeld on …